Abubuwan Da Ke Tasirin Mahimmancin Farashin Karfe na gaba

1.Macroeconomic Backdrop
Haɓaka tattalin arziki-musamman a cikin gidaje, ababen more rayuwa, da masana'antu-yana bayyana buƙatar ƙarfe. GDP mai juriya (wanda aka ƙarfafa ta hanyar kashe kayan more rayuwa) yana ci gaba da amfani, yayin da sashin kadara mai ja da baya ko koma bayan tattalin arzikin duniya yana raunana ƙarfin farashi.
2. Supply-Demand Dynamics
Samar da: Ayyukan injin (amfani da wutar lantarki/lantarki) da yanke samarwa (misali, ɗanyen ƙarfe curbs) yana tasiri ma'aunin kasuwa kai tsaye. Ƙananan matakan ƙididdiga (misali, 30-40% raguwa na shekara-shekara a cikin rebar hannun jari) yana haɓaka sassaucin farashi.
Buƙata: Ragewar yanayi (zafi, damina) yana dagula ayyukan gini, amma haɓakar manufofin (misali, sauƙaƙawar kadara) na iya haifar da dawo da ɗan gajeren lokaci. Ƙarfin fitarwa (misali, haɓakar fitar da koma baya a cikin H1 2025) yana daidaita yawan wadatar cikin gida amma yana fuskantar haɗarin kasuwanci.
3. Kudin wucewa-Ta
Raw kayan (iron tama, coking coal) mamaye farashin niƙa. Maidowa cikin coking kwal (a tsakanin asarar ma'adanan da matakan tsaro) ko dawo da kayan aikin ƙarfe na ƙarfe yana goyan bayan farashin ƙarfe, yayin da albarkatun ƙasa ke durkushewa (misali, 57% nutsewa cikin coking coal a cikin H1 2025) yana yin ƙasa.
4. Manufofin Siyasa
Manufofin suna tsara wadata (misali, sarrafa hayaƙi, ƙuntatawa na fitarwa) da buƙata (misali, haɓaka haɗin abubuwan more rayuwa, shakatawar dukiya). Canje-canjen manufofin kwatsam-ko dai na motsa jiki ko mai takurawa—hairƙirar juzu'i.
5. Halin Duniya da Kasuwa
Gudun ciniki tsakanin kasa da kasa (misali, kasadar hana zubar da ruwa) da hawan kayayyaki (makamakon karfen dalar Amurka) sun danganta farashin cikin gida da kasuwannin duniya. Matsayin kasuwa na gaba da "rabin tsammanin" (manufa vs. gaskiya) suna haɓaka sauye-sauyen farashin.
6. Hatsarin yanayi da na yanayi
Tsananin yanayi (zafi, guguwa) yana kawo cikas ga gine-gine, yayin da ƙwanƙolin kayan aiki ke haifar da rashin daidaiton buƙatun yanki, yana ƙara tabarbarewar farashin ɗan gajeren lokaci.