Me ke gaba ga kasuwar Karfe?

Farashin karfen Amurka ya kasance a cikin wani yanayi mai nisa mai nisa kamar na 9 ga Satumba 2022. Makomar kayayyaki sun zame daga kusan $1,500 a farkon shekara don yin ciniki a kusa da alamar $810 a farkon Satumba - raguwar sama da 40% shekara zuwa - kwanan wata (YTD).

Kasuwar duniya ta yi rauni tun daga karshen Maris yayin da hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, kulle-kulle na Covid-19 a wasu sassan China da rikici tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine duk sun kara nuna rashin tabbas a cikin 2022 da 2023.

Ƙarfe mai zafi mai zafi na Amurka Midwest (HRC) Karfe (CRU) yana ci gabakwangila na gabaya ragu da kashi 43.21% tun farkon shekara, wanda aka rufe a ƙarshe a $812 akan 8 ga Satumba.

Farashin HRC ya hauhawa na watanni da yawa a tsakiyar Maris, saboda damuwa game da samar da karafa da fitar da kayayyaki a Rasha da Ukraine sun goyi bayan kasuwa.

Koyaya, tunanin kasuwa ya tabarbare tun lokacin da aka sanya dokar hana fita a Shanghai a farkon Afrilu, wanda ya haifar da faduwar farashin a cikin makonni masu zuwa.Cibiyar hada-hadar kudi ta kasar Sin a hukumance ta kawo karshen kulle-kullen da ta yi na tsawon watanni biyu a ranar 1 ga watan Yuni kuma ta dage karin takunkumin a ranar 29 ga watan Yuni.

Farfado da tattalin arzikin kasar Sin ya samu karbuwa a watan Yuli, yayin da kwarin gwiwa ya inganta, kuma harkokin kasuwanci na ci gaba da tabarbarewa, duk da barkewar cutar Covid-19 a fadin kasar.

Shin kuna sha'awar ƙarin koyo game da farashin kayan masarufi da yanayinsu?A cikin wannan labarin, za mu duba sabbin labarai da suka shafi kasuwa tare da hasashen farashin karafa na manazarta.

Rashin kwanciyar hankali na geopolitical yana haifar da rashin tabbas na kasuwar karfe

A cikin 2021, yanayin farashin ƙarfe na US HRC ya kasance sama da mafi yawan shekara.Ya buga rikodin mafi girma na $ 1,725 ​​akan 3 Satumba kafin faɗuwa a cikin kwata na huɗu.

Farashin Karfa na Amurka HRC ya kasance maras tabbas tun farkon shekarar 2022. Dangane da bayanan farashin karfe na CME, kwangilar watan Agusta 2022 ta fara shekara a kan $1,040 kowace gajeriyar tan, kuma ta fadi zuwa kasa da $894 a ranar 27 ga Janairu, kafin ta koma sama da $1,010 akan 25 Fabrairu – kwana guda bayan da Rasha ta mamaye Ukraine.

Farashin ya haura zuwa dala 1,635 a kowace gajeriyar tan a ranar 10 ga Maris kan damuwa game da rushewar samar da karafa.Amma kasuwar ta juya baya don mayar da martani ga kulle-kulle a China, wanda ya rage bukatar manyan masu siyar da karafa a duniya.

us-karfe-index

A cikin Short Range Outlook (SRO) na 2022 da 2023, Ƙungiyar Ƙarfe ta Duniya (WSA), babbar ƙungiyar masana'antu, ta ce:

"Yaƙe-yaƙe na duniya daga yaƙin Ukraine, tare da ƙarancin haɓaka a China, yana nuna rage tsammanin haɓakar buƙatun ƙarfe na duniya a 2022.
"Akwai ƙarin haɗari daga ci gaba da kamuwa da cututtukan ƙwayoyin cuta a wasu sassan duniya, musamman China, da hauhawar farashin ruwa.Ana sa ran tsaurara manufofin kudin Amurka zai cutar da tattalin arzikin kasashe masu tasowa masu rauni."

A wani yanki kan sashin gine-gine na EU a farkon Satumba, manazarta ING Maurice van Sante ya nuna cewa tsammanin karancin bukatu a duniya - ba kawai a China ba - yana sanya matsin lamba kan farashin karfe:

"Tun bayan barkewar annobar a shekarar 2020, kayan gini da yawa sun karu a farashi, amma wasu daga cikin wadannan farashin sun daidaita ko ma sun ragu kadan a cikin 'yan watannin da suka gabata, musamman farashin karafa, ya dan ragu kadan. ga tsammanin raguwar bukatar karfe yayin da aka rage hasashen ci gaban tattalin arziki a kasashe da dama."

Lokacin aikawa: Satumba-14-2022