Yanayin kasuwar karfen na yanzu sun haɗa da jinkirin dawowa har yanzu.Ana hasashen bukatar karafa ta duniya za ta sake karuwa a cikin shekara mai zuwa, duk da cewa yawan kudin ruwa da sauran tasirin kasa da kasa - da kuma yajin aikin ma'aikatan motoci na Amurka a Detroit, Mich - ya ci gaba da haifar da hauhawar bukatu da farashin da ke shafar karfen. makomar masana'antu.
Masana'antar karafa wata ma'auni ce da babu makawa ga tattalin arzikin duniya.Tabarbarewar tattalin arzikin Amurka na baya-bayan nan, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, da batutuwan samar da kayayyaki, na cikin gida da na duniya baki daya, sune manyan abubuwan da ke faruwa a kasuwar karafa, ko da yake ba a bayyana a shirye suke su kawo cikas ga ci gaban da ake samu a yawancin bukatun karafa da ci gaban kasashe. Farashin da aka samu ta hanyar 2023.
Bayan sake dawowa da kashi 2.3% a cikin 2023, theungiyar Karfe ta Duniya (worldsteel) ta yi hasashen haɓaka 1.7% a cikin buƙatun ƙarfe na duniya a cikin 2024, bisa ga sabon rahotonta na Short Range Outlook (SRO).Yayin da ake sa ran raguwa a kasar Sin, manyan masana'antun karafa na duniya, yawancin duniya suna tsammanin bukatar karafa za ta bunkasa.Bugu da ƙari, Ƙungiyar Bakin Karfe ta Duniya (bakin ƙarfe) tana aiwatar da amfani da bakin karfe na duniya zai haɓaka da kashi 3.6% a cikin 2024.
A Amurka, inda tattalin arzikin ya sake komawa bayan barkewar annobar, ayyukan masana'antu ya ragu, amma ya kamata a ci gaba da bunkasa a sassa kamar kayayyakin more rayuwa da samar da makamashi.Bayan faɗuwar da kashi 2.6% a cikin 2022, amfani da ƙarfe na Amurka ya koma baya da kashi 1.3% a cikin 2023 kuma ana tsammanin zai sake girma da kashi 2.5% zuwa 2024.
Koyaya, ɗayan canjin da ba a zata ba wanda zai iya tasiri ga masana'antar karafa na sauran wannan shekara har zuwa 2024 shine takaddamar aiki da ke gudana tsakanin ƙungiyar Ma'aikatan Motoci ta United (UAW) da masu kera motoci na "Big Three" - Ford, General Motors, da Stellantis .
Yayin da yajin aikin ya fi tsayi, ƙananan motoci ke samarwa, yana haifar da ƙarancin buƙatar ƙarfe.Karfe yana da fiye da rabin abun ciki na matsakaicin abin hawa, bisa ga Cibiyar Ƙarfe da Ƙarfe ta Amurka, kuma kusan kashi 15% na jigilar ƙarfe na cikin gida na Amurka yana zuwa masana'antar kera motoci.Rushewar buƙatun ƙarfe mai zafi da mai birgima da raguwar tarkacen ƙarfe na kera motoci na iya haifar da sauye-sauyen farashi a kasuwa.
Saboda yawan tarkacen karfen da ke fitowa daga kera motoci, raguwar samarwa da bukatar karafa saboda yajin aikin na iya haifar da tashin gwauron zabi na karafa.A halin yanzu, dubban ton na kayayyakin da ba a yi amfani da su ba da suka ragu a kasuwa suna haifar da faduwar farashin karafa.A cewar wani rahoto na baya-bayan nan daga EUROMETAL, farashin karafa mai zafi da zafi ya fara yin rauni a makonnin da suka gabato yajin aikin UAW kuma ya kai matsayinsa mafi karanci tun farkon watan Janairun 2023.
Worldsteel's SRO ya lura cewa tallace-tallacen motoci da motocin haske a cikin Amurka sun dawo da kashi 8% a cikin 2023 kuma an yi hasashen za su karu da ƙarin 7% a cikin 2024. Duk da haka, ba a san yadda yajin aikin zai iya tasiri ga tallace-tallace, samarwa, da, saboda haka, karfe bukata.
Lokacin aikawa: Dec-12-2023