A cikin nazarinta na sufurin jiragen ruwa na shekarar 2021, Babban Taron Majalisar Dinkin Duniya kan Ciniki da Ci gaba (UNCTAD) ya ce hauhawar farashin kaya a halin yanzu, idan aka dore, na iya kara farashin shigo da kayayyaki na duniya da kashi 11% da kuma farashin mabukaci da kashi 1.5% tsakanin yanzu. kuma 2023.
Tasirin manyan cajin dakon kaya zai fi girma a cikin ƙananan ƙasashe masu tasowa na tsibiri (SIDS), wanda zai iya ganin farashin shigo da kaya ya karu da kashi 24% da kuma farashin masu amfani da kashi 7.5%.A cikin ƙananan ƙasashe masu tasowa (LDCs), matakan farashin mabukaci na iya ƙaruwa da 2.2%.
Ya zuwa ƙarshen 2020, farashin kaya ya ƙaru zuwa matakan da ba a zata ba.An bayyana wannan a cikin ƙimar tabo ta Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI).
Misali, ƙimar tabo ta SCFI akan hanyar Shanghai-Turai bai kai $1,000 ga kowane TEU a watan Yuni 2020, ya yi tsalle zuwa kusan $4,000 kowane TEU a ƙarshen 2020, kuma ya tashi zuwa $7,552 kowane TEU a ƙarshen Nuwamba 2021.
Bugu da ƙari, ana sa ran farashin kaya zai ci gaba da ƙaruwa saboda ci gaba da buƙata mai ƙarfi haɗe da rashin tabbas da kuma damuwa game da ingancin sufuri da tashoshi.
A cewar sabon rahoto daga Sea-Intelligence, wani kamfanin ba da bayanai na ruwa na Copenhagen da kamfanin ba da shawara, jigilar teku na iya ɗaukar fiye da shekaru biyu don komawa matakan al'ada.
Don yin wannan, mun ƙididdige matsakaicin matsakaicin ƙimar mako-mako don lokutan 5 tare da haɓaka ƙimar.A matsakaita, a cikin lokutan 5 na raguwa, farashin ya ragu -0.6 maki a kowane mako, a matsakaici.A cikin lokuta 5 na karuwa, mun ga farashin ya haura da kashi 1.1 cikin dari a tsawon lokacin.Wannan yana nuna adadin 1.8 tsakanin haɓakawa da raguwa, ma'ana cewa ƙimar haɓaka yakan zama 80% mai ƙarfi, a kowane mako, fiye da raguwa.Kamar yadda matakin ƙimar na yanzu ya zo bayan tsawon watanni 17 na ƙimar ci gaba, sakamakon ya zama watanni 30 kafin a koma baya zuwa index 1000.
Binciken na UNCTAD ya nuna cewa yawan kayan dakon kaya yana da tasiri sosai kan farashin kayan masarufi na wasu kaya fiye da wasu, musamman wadanda suka fi hade da sarkar samar da kayayyaki a duniya, kamar kwamfutoci, da kayan lantarki da na gani.
Har ila yau, hauhawar farashin zai yi tasiri kan abubuwa masu ƙarancin ƙima kamar kayan daki, masaku, tufafi da samfuran fata, waɗanda galibi ana samar da su a cikin ƙasashe masu ƙarancin albashi da ke nesa da manyan kasuwannin mabukaci.UNCTAD ta yi hasashen hauhawar farashin masu amfani da kashi 10.2% akan waɗannan.
Lokacin aikawa: Nuwamba-30-2021